Second-year TE Kyle Pitts has all the tools needed to be a top fantasy tight end choice, but the question is if his offense can support him more than they did in 2021.
In his first year with the Falcons last season, Pitts quietly totalled 1,026 receiving yards, which was the second-most by a rookie tight end in league history. It was a solid start to his career, but he managed to score just one touchdown thanks to a bottom ten offense that averaged 18.4 points per game.
His metrics were good though, and clearly highlight all the skills that were discussed ahead of him being drafted in 2021. Among tight ends, he was targeted the 5th most (110) and his target share was 6th most at 20.3%. Beyond that, his air yards ranked #2 (1110), as did his air yards share (28.3%) and average target distance (10.1).
Overall, it was a solid rookie season that went under the radar because of how bad Atlanta was. There’s a lot to like about his skillset, especially if the Falcons can figure out how to be competitive now that they have Marcus Mariota at quarterback. The team also picked up another receiving threat in Drake London, who should help keep defenses distracted enough to free up extra yards and touchdowns for Pitts.
Health & Draft Analysis – Pitts managed to get through his rookie season without major injury, though he was diagnosed with a hamstring strain in Week 17. Heading into 2022, there is little to no concern regarding his Injury Risk or Health Performance Factor. The biggest question surrounding him is out of his control: quarterback play. But even if he sees another season of lackluster play calling and targets, Pitts is sure to see statistical improvements.
I’d expect him to pull in similar yards (maybe less with London) and hover around six touchdowns. He’s got all the requisite skills, so I would take him in the third or fourth round. He’s no Kelce, Andrews, or Kittle, but I do think he has what it takes to be TE4 this season.